Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.235556 1.398065 1.576119 1.786038 2.027213 2.296151 2.619502
2024-12-15 0.997349 1.218461 1.481977 1.820738 2.246911 2.768186 3.458522
2024-12-22 0.844829 1.084912 1.387237 1.798881 2.349367 3.066563 4.082211
2024-12-29 0.751642 1.005279 1.339403 1.816497 2.487919 3.410549 4.794137
2025-01-05 0.666394 0.922100 1.271961 1.792073 2.556673 3.656746 5.390838
2025-01-12 0.601892 0.858287 1.221094 1.780247 2.635192 3.917649 6.033831
2025-01-19 0.530174 0.775677 1.133220 1.701642 2.600890 3.999842 6.403074
2025-01-26 0.497104 0.746055 1.119163 1.731065 2.732905 4.350086 7.244856
2025-02-02 0.469416 0.721417 1.109346 1.764419 2.872312 4.724619 8.173613
2025-02-09 0.440648 0.692088 1.088793 1.777011 2.976572 5.049054 9.053902
2025-02-16 0.414314 0.664088 1.067359 1.784987 3.072019 5.366218 9.960111
2025-02-23 0.395641 0.646859 1.061712 1.818633 3.214942 5.782399 11.109668
2025-03-02 0.365842 0.609050 1.019040 1.784447 3.233602 5.976027 11.858465
2025-03-09 0.351649 0.596877 1.019528 1.828357 3.403515 6.479405 13.321987
2025-03-16 0.328536 0.567065 0.986136 1.805584 3.441253 6.724604 14.267987
2025-03-23 0.313525 0.550443 0.974893 1.823346 3.560321 7.147647 15.669878
2025-03-30 0.294053 0.524140 0.943605 1.798814 3.589957 7.385553 16.681305
2025-04-06 0.277932 0.502823 0.919895 1.786940 3.644281 7.682130 17.876872
2025-04-13 0.254956 0.466934 0.865653 1.708010 3.546585 7.629838 18.205811
2025-04-20 0.246595 0.458437 0.863866 1.737554 3.689148 8.139634 20.039659
2025-04-27 0.239200 0.451249 0.864021 1.771046 3.843902 8.696606 22.090795
2025-05-04 0.230063 0.439940 0.854976 1.783690 3.951937 9.154657 23.952424
2025-05-11 0.221070 0.428285 0.844311 1.791699 4.049764 9.599461 25.854155